Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Tue Nov 10 19:22:07 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Nationwide, a simple regression on the county-level data suggests a 8 percent increase in black turnout, v. 19 for non-black turnout. This is a very rough way of looking at things--importantly, doesn't control for population growth, and has ecological inference issues — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I should note that the county-level data is not perfect for evaluating black turnout, especially since many majority black counties in the so-called 'black belt' are in population decline. But those counties stand out for relatively small turnout increases, as well — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In part as a result, turnout also seems to have increased more in areas where Trump won in 2016 than those where Clinton won. This analysis excludes all of the places that I don't think have finished... but I could be wrong about that so call this very preliminary — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated