Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Tue Nov 10 19:23:46 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In part as a result, turnout also seems to have increased more in areas where Trump won in 2016 than those where Clinton won. This analysis excludes all of the places that I don't think have finished... but I could be wrong about that so call this very preliminary — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Nationwide, a simple regression on the county-level data suggests a 8 percent increase in black turnout, v. 19 for non-black turnout. This is a very rough way of looking at things--importantly, doesn't control for population growth, and has ecological inference issues — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It does seem to me that most of the precinct-level data that I've seen, though, suggests a *relative* decline in black turnout. That's true in the data we collected in GA/NC/FL for the needle. Also true in Philly here. https://t.co/MAsCX7XMGJ — PolitiTweet.org

Now that is in *no way* the whole story. Votes were down in both predominantly-Black and -Hispanic wards, too. Wa… https://t.co/Ijt2aSoZcu

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated