Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Tue Nov 10 17:15:56 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This theory's almost too smooth to be true, but it's elegant and fits a lot of things together. Remember those studies that said Biden does better in a COVID hotspot? Well, Biden didn't do better in COVID hotspots. So maybe... that just means the polls were biased by COVID — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Let's start with the most interesting bit of theorizing I encountered, from always interesting @davidshor. He thinks it's the pandemic: Dems took it seriously, stayed home and started responding to polls more. GOP did not. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Another interesting thing it helps explain. Our 10/19 battleground polls were... pretty accurate! So were the state polls conducted from Jan-Mar 20. Now, maybe these polls were just as bad--and Trump actually led big back then! Or maybe... the bias started since then https://t.co/t6pY7fcb8O — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated