Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Tue Nov 10 17:13:56 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Let's start with the most interesting bit of theorizing I encountered, from always interesting @davidshor. He thinks it's the pandemic: Dems took it seriously, stayed home and started responding to polls more. GOP did not. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So what happened? How did the samples get that much worse over the last four years, especially among white voters without a degree and seniors? At this stage, it's really just speculation. We'll know more later--it's too early for an autopsy. But here's some early speculation — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This theory's almost too smooth to be true, but it's elegant and fits a lot of things together. Remember those studies that said Biden does better in a COVID hotspot? Well, Biden didn't do better in COVID hotspots. So maybe... that just means the polls were biased by COVID — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated