Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Tue Nov 10 17:17:59 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Another interesting thing it helps explain. Our 10/19 battleground polls were... pretty accurate! So were the state polls conducted from Jan-Mar 20. Now, maybe these polls were just as bad--and Trump actually led big back then! Or maybe... the bias started since then https://t.co/t6pY7fcb8O — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This theory's almost too smooth to be true, but it's elegant and fits a lot of things together. Remember those studies that said Biden does better in a COVID hotspot? Well, Biden didn't do better in COVID hotspots. So maybe... that just means the polls were biased by COVID — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Shor also put forward some data that's at least plausibly consistent with it. The increase in Dem response clearly happens before the pandemic, in the primary. But maybe it held because of the primary https://t.co/aH9Q3rMqpp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020 Hibernated