Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Oct 24 16:52:39 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Or if you prefer: if the model can't tell that WV going wild in '08 is any more likely than MS right now, then the model will probably need to allow both possibilities and underestimate the probability of the former and overestimate the latter — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos the model doesn't get to make that distinction — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PieKnapple right, but that WV example is a recent negative correlation example. you do need to allow that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated