Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

Created

Sat Oct 24 16:54:46 +0000 2020

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PieKnapple right, but that WV example is a recent negative correlation example. you do need to allow that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Or if you prefer: if the model can't tell that WV going wild in '08 is any more likely than MS right now, then the model will probably need to allow both possibilities and underestimate the probability of the former and overestimate the latter — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway, we're dwelling at the edge of what's imaginable. The core issue: MS has no correlation with the rest of the country, and the model also has to allow for the possibility of wild things. Take it together: D wins in MS are uncorrelated with the rest of the country. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated