Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Oct 22 17:22:31 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Relatedy: we go out of our way to sample low turnout voters, who haven't voted in recent elections and weight on past turnout. They're also more likely to be undecided. In our polling so far this year, 2018 voters are 5% undecided; those who didn't vote in 2018 are 8.5% undecided — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So another survey would be cutting out those 21/14/13 groups out entirely, while we do still assign them some probability to vote, increasing the undecided share of the sample — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'm fairly confident that 2018 voters represent a much smaller share of our samples than other polls, based on the extent of the effort it takes to reach them. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated