Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Oct 22 17:23:04 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'm fairly confident that 2018 voters represent a much smaller share of our samples than other polls, based on the extent of the effort it takes to reach them. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Relatedy: we go out of our way to sample low turnout voters, who haven't voted in recent elections and weight on past turnout. They're also more likely to be undecided. In our polling so far this year, 2018 voters are 5% undecided; those who didn't vote in 2018 are 8.5% undecided — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A possible factor--and I genuinely don't know how prevalent this is--how do you handle dk in your weighting? For ex: let's say I weight by race to 70w/10b/10h/10o, but 5% DK. Do I collapse the 5 into 'other', and keep the same targets? Or do I weight to 66.5,9.5,9.5,9.5, 5 dk? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated