Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Oct 22 17:20:52 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So another survey would be cutting out those 21/14/13 groups out entirely, while we do still assign them some probability to vote, increasing the undecided share of the sample — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Pct. undecided by intention to vote, taking all NYT/Siena 2020 polling together since September: Almost certain to vote 5.6 Very likely 7 Somewhat likely 21.8 Not too likely 14 Not at all likely 13 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Relatedy: we go out of our way to sample low turnout voters, who haven't voted in recent elections and weight on past turnout. They're also more likely to be undecided. In our polling so far this year, 2018 voters are 5% undecided; those who didn't vote in 2018 are 8.5% undecided — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated