Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Sep 10 11:35:16 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It is pretty tough, IMO, to come up with an explanation for how a panel like the Pew ATP or USC (weighting issues aside) would be pretty good in '16, retain many of the same panelists, and be badly biased in '20. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One thing that's clear: an apples-to-apples comparison, today, unmistakably shows Biden doing better than Clinton, including among the kind of white, working class voters where we might expect problems. Any issues would almost certainly need to have gotten much worse since '16 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

How do you get enough Trump vote in '16, but too much Trump-Biden vote in 20? It would need to be an awfully targeted kind of bias, though I could make up a story where committed Trump voters become disillusioned with polling and drop out while weaker Trump support remains. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated