Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Sep 10 11:30:16 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One thing that's clear: an apples-to-apples comparison, today, unmistakably shows Biden doing better than Clinton, including among the kind of white, working class voters where we might expect problems. Any issues would almost certainly need to have gotten much worse since '16 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Now for that same reason, there's just not a ton of evidence that this is a real problem, either. Education + undecided voters + turnout covers a whole lot of what went wrong in '16 and 2018 was good enough for most purposes. But I don't see how you can disprove it, either — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It is pretty tough, IMO, to come up with an explanation for how a panel like the Pew ATP or USC (weighting issues aside) would be pretty good in '16, retain many of the same panelists, and be badly biased in '20. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated