Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

Created

Thu Aug 27 13:55:19 +0000 2020

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @On_Politike (and that 538 number wasn't nowcast, that was their public forecast at the time. i'm sure it did just fine on the training set) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @On_Politike don't take this the wrong way, but it is 100% irrelevant to me that a model fit after the fact would have been fine. it is a grave mistake to believe you're immune to the kinds of errors that forecasters made in the past — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@On_Politike @gelliottmorris I am! These models aren't that good this far out, and so you need big confidence intervals! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated