Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Aug 27 14:01:21 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@On_Politike @gelliottmorris I am! These models aren't that good this far out, and so you need big confidence intervals! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @On_Politike (and that 538 number wasn't nowcast, that was their public forecast at the time. i'm sure it did just fine on the training set) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @On_Politike but if your CI doesn't really even allow for the kinds of errors that happened *often* in the last election, then maybe it doesn't? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated