Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Aug 12 19:06:22 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris a robust forecast at N=17 means making up a bunch of stuff, and it's a lot of work to inevitably say 'candidate who leads the polls will probably but not necessarily win,' and then be yelled at if the polls are wrong, as they will be from time to time. i don't see the fun — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris fair enough, but we're just not anywhere near the same page on how to think about this stuff if there's any utterance of the word 'underfitting' over the last... 5 data points ? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris if folks want to go and do it, i'm not saying the world is a worse place for it. but it also means there's even less value if i go and do it too. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated