Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

Created

Fri Aug 07 13:53:48 +0000 2020

Likes

122

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Now I'm not saying that the House Effects *should* be calibrated at A+ = true and adjust all others to it. My main point is that if there were as many Monmouth polls as Morning Consult or something, you'd have a different House Effect adjustment too — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Here, for instance, are House Effects by 538 pollster rating (where 0 is their "A+" and 1 is an "D-") As you can see, there's a decent relationship between pollster quality and a Biden House Effect. The small number of A+ polls means they can't anchor the adjustment. https://t.co/5Cu9D19DLu — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

At the same time, none of this means that there *hasn't* been tightening. If we go back to this chart, there's still tightening across all mode. https://t.co/wKMqRJIOsh — PolitiTweet.org

Here, for instance, is what the poll averages look like if you break the polls down by method. Black = all; blue =… https://t.co/00znVorw9O

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Hibernated