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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 6, 2021

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Tue Jun 09 15:45:42 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A related lesson, for me, is that Trump should be treated like an ordinary candidate for electoral-analysis purposes. He was not DOA in 2016 when the fundamentals said he should be competitive; he wasn't invincible in 2018 when GOP should struggle. https://t.co/EzGq3xFUJZ — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

For me, the lesson of 2016 was that I was relying too little on polling. I should have paid more attention to Trump… https://t.co/AfxLY1Xm7Q

Posted June 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One broader question that only time will resolve is whether the 2020 polling will resemble 2016's predictable, mean-reverting, sine-curve-like oscillations between Trump and Clinton https://t.co/Cfwz039fkT https://t.co/g0BuRJKsgc — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This is part of why I've been fairly optimistic about Trump's chances over the last few years: the pace of economic growth would make an ordinary incumbent favored to win reelection, and his approval ratings were not nearly so bad as to stop it. But that's not so true anymore — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 9, 2020 Hibernated