Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 6, 2021

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Tue Jun 09 12:05:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One broader question that only time will resolve is whether the 2020 polling will resemble 2016's predictable, mean-reverting, sine-curve-like oscillations between Trump and Clinton https://t.co/Cfwz039fkT https://t.co/g0BuRJKsgc — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@b_schaffner @mattyglesias one marginal factor i keep glossing over without rigorous analysis is the declining black share of nonwhite voters — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A related lesson, for me, is that Trump should be treated like an ordinary candidate for electoral-analysis purposes. He was not DOA in 2016 when the fundamentals said he should be competitive; he wasn't invincible in 2018 when GOP should struggle. https://t.co/EzGq3xFUJZ — PolitiTweet.org

For me, the lesson of 2016 was that I was relying too little on polling. I should have paid more attention to Trump… https://t.co/AfxLY1Xm7Q

Posted June 9, 2020 Hibernated