Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 14, 2020

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Sat Apr 25 15:09:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That said, there are many things that have not changed. A very substantial share of state polls still aren't adjusting on self-reported education. Virtually none ensure they represent sporadic/low turnout voters, who are stronger for Trump controlling for other demographics. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Another thing has definitely changed for the better, at least in some cases: more pollsters weighting on self-reported education; failing to do so was considered major driver of the polling error. Nowhere near all do this, to be sure. But, still more than '16. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And look, *in general* the state polling is lower in quality than the national polling right now. There are state pollsters who do crazy things, imo, like weighting on self-reported party reg or not even asking about education. State online polling is hard, due to few panelists — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2020 Hibernated