Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 14, 2020

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Sat Apr 25 15:11:40 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And look, *in general* the state polling is lower in quality than the national polling right now. There are state pollsters who do crazy things, imo, like weighting on self-reported party reg or not even asking about education. State online polling is hard, due to few panelists — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That said, there are many things that have not changed. A very substantial share of state polls still aren't adjusting on self-reported education. Virtually none ensure they represent sporadic/low turnout voters, who are stronger for Trump controlling for other demographics. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And the state pollsters, as a whole, are extremely heterogeneous. NBC/WSJ, CBS/NYT, ABC/Post polls are all more or less the same commodity; NBC/Marist, NYT/Siena, CBS/YouGov are nothing alike. And then there's the huge pool of largely unknown state poll mush — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2020 Hibernated