Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 22, 2020

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Wed Dec 18 14:22:49 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'd note, FWIW, that the Civiqs tracker, which isn't included here as it is not in the FiveThirtyEight database, does seem to track more with the live interview polls. Am I sure that if we had 5 more big, online pollsters that this pattern would still hold? No, not really — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A final possibility, and one that maybe you should root for, is that it's basically a coincidence--we have only a small number of diverse, idiosyncratic online pollsters. They have their own patterns, and can't be clumped like the live RDD polls, which are fundamentally similar. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

You can certainly see that in the Democratic primary race. These online pollsters have very different takes on the race, and very few of them seem to simply be the live interview average without revision. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2019 Hibernated