Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 22, 2020

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Wed Dec 18 14:24:10 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

You can certainly see that in the Democratic primary race. These online pollsters have very different takes on the race, and very few of them seem to simply be the live interview average without revision. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'd note, FWIW, that the Civiqs tracker, which isn't included here as it is not in the FiveThirtyEight database, does seem to track more with the live interview polls. Am I sure that if we had 5 more big, online pollsters that this pattern would still hold? No, not really — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But there are worse scenarios, too. Perhaps panel conditioning, for instance, has taken a toll on the data being used on online pollsters. Basically, the millions of online panelists would have developed an independent set of opinions and trends after years of taking online polls — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2019 Hibernated