Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

Created

Fri Dec 13 19:29:12 +0000 2019

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

3) Even leaving aside the possibility of change since '16 or the RV/LV issue, just take '16. Wisconsin was 3 points right of the USA. The average Marquette poll since Aug is Biden+3.25. NYT/Siena poll was Biden+3.5. So that's Biden+6 to 7 just using 2016 as the benchmark — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2019 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

2) There have long been signs in Marquette polling, going all the way back to early 17, that Trump was holding up relatively well in Wisconsin. This was pretty clearly confirmed in the exit polls, actual 2018 midterm results (and accuracy of final Marquette poll, I'd argue) https://t.co/9dj29J37cx — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2019 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

4) And--this is a little speculative--I do wonder whether the current average is a little on the high end of a hypothetical, comprehensive national poll average. The two worst national polls for Trump approval recently, Monmouth and Selzer, didn't ask about Biden-Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2019 Hibernated