Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Aug. 10, 2020

Created

Fri Jul 19 19:45:27 +0000 2019

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@NateSilver538 But just about all of them--and certainly the one used here--are better than giving the Democrats 100% of the vote in one-eight of the state. And we also have estimates that account for incumbency, and that nudges things a little bit--to D+2.5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@NateSilver538 If you don't agree, I'd be happy to hear evidence to the contrary. I think I've put forward a lot. And I do think trying to pin-point it matters, not necessarily for predicting the race but making sense of it and perhaps changing it, as Democrats mull their nominee — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@NateSilver538 And we have a more sophisticated estimate, seen on the map as the 'result-based' estimate, which attempts to model the presidents approval as a function of House results, while ironing out candidate specific effects (like an outlier in IA-4). All of it lands on the same answer — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated