Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Reality check: the NY ruling likely costs Dems at least three seats they otherwise would have captured under the gerrymander, a devastating result you can't message your way out of. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @mcpli: Meanwhile, at the trial court in Steuben County, there will be a hearing 5/6 with the court's neutral expert where interested pa… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pretty much the story (if the DeSantis-mander holds). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In a 4-3 ruling, NY's top court has turned Dems' 2022 House outlook from terrible to potentially horrific. A court-appointed special master will draw a remedial map, perhaps costing Dems three NY seats they otherwise would have gained & making Rs clear redistricting winners. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: NY's top court throws out Dems' congressional map and delays June 28 primary, depriving them of their most critical gerrymander of the 2022 cycle. https://t.co/yNlPes1FVN https://t.co/9nRJjGRHyy — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

We’re down to two possible outcomes of 2022 redistricting: a partisan wash or a modest GOP gain, depending on the final ruling on Dems’ NY congressional map. Predictions from a few months ago of a much less skewed House map now look premature. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: NEW: @Redistrict's latest analysis on the new Florida maps is now live for subscribers: https://t.co/bFx8tstuXm — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

No surprise here, as Kansas's GOP gerrymander was the likeliest map in the country to be struck down. Ruling likely to be upheld on appeal, given top state court's makeup. Good news for #KS03 Rep. Sharice Davids (D). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

No one can be 100% sure what NY's top court will decide this week. Yes, all seven judges are Dem appointees. But, this is first decade w/ 1) new anti-gerrymandering constitutional criteria and 2) a single-party gerrymander. A good primer by @JeffWice. https://t.co/zSpJTWwpvt — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If FL’s GOP gerrymander is upheld and the NY’s Dem gerrymander is struck down (still dubious), Rs would be the modest yet clear winners of 2022 redistricting. And it would be b/c most blue states enforced anti-gerrymandering reforms while red states (esp. FL/OH/UT) defied them. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: FL becomes the 41st state to adopt a congressional map (not counting NY, where Dems' gerrymander is on hold pending appeal). Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) has signed into law a gerrymander that shuold stretch the state's 16R-11D breakdown to 20R-8D. Next stop: courts. https://t.co/RaTYJG7MLV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In addition, this "bombshell" is likely to have about the same newsworthiness/impact in the Republican conference/ecosystem as incriminating leaked audio of a Dem House leader would have on that side if it were revealed on Hannity. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The idea leaked audio will hurt McCarthy's speaker chances is silly for the same reason that's been true for years: scores of House GOPers have long believed Trump was/is unfit for office but must say the opposite publicly to survive, and sympathize with McCarthy. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: McCarthy publicly called out Trump on 1/6, GOP members knew what McCarthy was saying in private about dumping Trump (and ma… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Unlike DeSantis, Sununu pressuring his legislature keep districts *more* competitive. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Certain to be appealed to NY’s highest court. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is the best court outcome I think opponents of the DeSantis map can realistically hope for. It's possible to draw a ~37% Black #FL05 entirely within Duval Co. that doesn't dilute the votes of Jacksonville's Black community. But, still doesn't meet VRA Gingles test. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There's been a Black majority/plurality opportunity seat anchored by Jacksonville since 1992. The DeSantis map dismantles it, breaking with three decades of precedent. But given the current makeup of state/federal courts, don't expect the seat to be restored. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: DeSantis-backed FL gerrymander that’s poised to stretch the state’s current 16R-11D breakdown to 20R-8D by eliminating North FL’s plurality Black #FL05 passes both chambers along party lines and heads to the governor for signature (h/t @MappingFL). https://t.co/GSuVzPm3iF — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ChadPergram: GOP SC Rep Joe Wilson endorses GOP candidate Katie Arrington, also backed by Trump, in race against sitting GOP SC Rep Nan… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: The question for 2023 isn’t whether R’s win control of House (very little chance they don’t). Instead, it’s what KIND of R’… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NY's top court (entirely made up of Dem appointees) indicating it will take up map case quickly. If there's any adverse ruling on the congressional lines, it would put Rs back "ahead" nationally in redistricting, given what's unfolding in FL. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A good dispatch by @sarahnferris and @nicholaswu12 on the midterm survival strategy of #VA07 Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D), who joined @CookPolitical's Toss Up column today. https://t.co/6RcD5Zb2K7 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW @CookPolitical House ratings: after today's changes, there are 27 Dem-held seats in Toss Up or worse, vs. just 12 GOP-held seats in Toss Up or worse. And, this disparity is certain to widen once FL/NH complete redistricting. https://t.co/mAdCOtLpRZ https://t.co/UJ4qBQh6tg — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW at @CookPolitical: we've made eight House rating changes, all in Republicans' direction - including three Dem incumbents moving from Lean D to Toss Up. Full analysis: https://t.co/lbFUKvphY1 https://t.co/ASMEmKXIej — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: 🚨 New House rating changes: #IN01 Likely D to Lean D #NV03 Lean D to Toss Up #NV04 Lean D to Toss Up #NJ03 Solid D to L… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ECaliberSeven 2/8 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Arriving to @CookPolitical tomorrow: eight House rating changes, all in the same direction. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @akarl_smith: BREAKING: Tennessee GOP votes to remove Trump-backed Morgan Ortagus, in addition to Robby Starbuck and Baxter Lee, from th… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: NY Judge Patrick McAllister has tapped Carnegie Mellon postdoctoral fellow Jonathan Cervas to draw a "standby" congressional map in case NY's highest court strikes down Dems' 22D-4R gerrymander (h/t @JeffWice). — PolitiTweet.org