Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far, the three members of the Squad who have faced 2020 primary challenges have prevailed by a combined 201,235 votes to 105,993 votes. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Rep. Ilhan Omar (D) wins renomination in #MN05, defeating Antone Melton-Meaux (D). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rep. Ilhan Omar (D) now up 57%-40% over Antone Melton-Meaux (D) in the #MN05 primary w/ 86k ballots counted. In 2018, there were 135k primary ballots counted total. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Meet the next member from #GA14 (and potentially the new Steve King): Marjorie Taylor Greene (R), who won tonight's runoff. https://t.co/Qv1NVQQuVK — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Lady walking down King St. in Alexandria, VA just now: (checks cell phone, turns to friend): “Biden picked a woman!” Um... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: Kamala Harris is the rare pick who is both safe/conventional as well as historic. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This choice is probably the most universally well-received among Dems he could have made, and the process was impressively leak-free. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Thanks everyone. Appreciate the ratio on this tweet. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Looking to crowdsource some "fun facts" about a few places for an article I'm writing. I've got plenty but feel free to reply w/ something cool/interesting about: Erie, PA Marshalltown, IA Wilmington, NC Bowling Green, OH Saginaw, MI St. Pete, FL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @nahmias: Republican Congressional candidate deletes photos from Hitler’s retreat https://t.co/FccHsotUro — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @albrgr: 🤔 🤔 🤔 https://t.co/kMeJh3MVSV https://t.co/XTYcApL4Zj https://t.co/aE2VqqzPJ7 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

All of these naturally skew Dem. And a recent rise in the “Blue Shift” is correlated w/ a bigger urban/rural divide and more modes of voting. It’s critical to prepare Americans for the “Blue Shift.” But it’s also lazy to portray it as shrouded in mystery. They’re valid ballots. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

All of these naturally skew Dem. And a recent rise in the “Blue Shift” is correlated w/ a bigger urban/rural divide and more modes of voting. It’s critical to prepare Americans for a “Blue Shift. But it’s also lazy to portray it as shrouded in mystery. They’re valid ballots. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The“Blue Shift” really isn’t all that mysterious or “little understood.” Late-counted ballots tend to be from: 1) urban counties w/ tons more ballots to count 2) provisional voters who skew transient/non-white 3) same-day registrants who skew younger https://t.co/JGDqAkqFKr — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@kathrynw5 this was a joke — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If you're a VP finalist and you don't want to get noticed on your way to your Delaware interview, why not just fly commercial. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If you're a VP finalist and you didn't want to get noticed on your way to your Delaware interview, why not just fly commercial. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@HotlineJosh Ballot applications, not ballots...pretty big difference. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Any chance we can get @jonathanvswan to ask for the evidence that dogs and dead people are registered to vote/applying for absentee ballots in Fairfax County? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So the most pressing issue confronting the country right now is 500k absentee ballot applications accidentally labeled w/ a return address of Fairfax City instead Fairfax County? Which probably won't affect anyone's ability to get an absentee ballot anyway? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, here would be my estimates for 2020's electorate based on demographic change since '16 alone... 10 closest '16 battleground states: 46% non-college white 30% college+ white 24% non-white Other 40 states + DC: 39% non-college white 32% college+ white 29% non-white — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pollsters like GWU/Lake/Tarrance, who find a massive partisan divide between college/non-college whites but refuse to re-weight a national sample that's 47% (!) white college grads, are offering us a look at where the 2020 race might stand...inside a Whole Foods Market. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breakdown of the 2016 electorate, by my estimate... 10 closest battleground states: 49% non-college white 29% college+ white 22% non-white Other 40 states + DC: 42% non-college white 30% college+ white 28% non-white Bottom line: non-college whites hold a *lot* of sway. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Nope. College grads were 39.6% of the *actual* electorate in 2016. They were only 31.8% of the *eligible* electorate. Sure, the bachelors+ share will be more like 42-43% in 2020, but anything over 50% in a poll is absurd. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

1. This poll was national, not battleground states 2. In 2016, college grads were just 39.6% of the electorate, per Census (this poll has an absurd 63%) 3. Non-college whites are *overrepresented* in the battleground states — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Polling malpractice... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@daveweigel You also have to consider how asking about a "fracking ban" would poll - the data on that wording has b… https://t.co/fO6f9VXyXp — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @allymutnick: NEW: House Rs raced to disavow Marjorie Greene after learning she made a slew of racist comments But there’s been no majo… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ChazNuttycombe Thanks for reading @CookPolitical. ;) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Odds Biden would try to solve this problem by simultaneously naming Whitmer for VP and Harris for AG? — PolitiTweet.org