Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked July 7, 2021

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Mon Aug 10 19:08:17 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pollsters like GWU/Lake/Tarrance, who find a massive partisan divide between college/non-college whites but refuse to re-weight a national sample that's 47% (!) white college grads, are offering us a look at where the 2020 race might stand...inside a Whole Foods Market. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breakdown of the 2016 electorate, by my estimate... 10 closest battleground states: 49% non-college white 29% college+ white 22% non-white Other 40 states + DC: 42% non-college white 30% college+ white 28% non-white Bottom line: non-college whites hold a *lot* of sway. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, here would be my estimates for 2020's electorate based on demographic change since '16 alone... 10 closest '16 battleground states: 46% non-college white 30% college+ white 24% non-white Other 40 states + DC: 39% non-college white 32% college+ white 29% non-white — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2020 Hibernated