Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @zachheltzel: @Redistrict The Sun Belt path for Biden becomes abundantly clear when you take both ends to their furthest theoretical ext… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

By contrast, if Trump were to win 100% of non-college whites and nothing else changed, he'd win every state except California, Hawaii, Maryland and New York (and DC of course). https://t.co/S0rvB5Hbk8 https://t.co/5YxGdYayuy — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

By contrast, if Trump were to win 100% of non-college whites and nothing else changed, he'd win every state except CA, MD and NY (and DC of course). https://t.co/S0rvB5Hbk8 https://t.co/aYSJW0czcv — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Interesting fact: if Biden were to win 100% of white college grads and nothing else changed, he'd win every state except West Virginia and Wyoming. https://t.co/Gmbkw4Vo0G https://t.co/Op7PBvako2 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wow. effective — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @sandrews121: Super excited to share the 2020 Demographic Swingometer that’s been a few months in the making! A huge thank you to @redis… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@BenWessel There's a terrific age slider at the @NBCNews version! https://t.co/Kv7mouJ2Wt — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wondering why the default setting is Biden 307, Trump 231? Answer: if 2016's results by race/education were adjusted for the last four years' population change, Trump would lose. https://t.co/Ov3KKRB8Vk https://t.co/hsm5xryugR — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

However, our goal w/ both features - the @NBCNews one designed for a wide audience and the @CookPolitical version designed for super-nerds - is to allow readers to visualize how Electoral College battlegrounds move together (or not). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A caveat: demographic swings are never perfectly uniform and there's no perfect way to micro-segment the electorate. For example, if we had separate sliders for Hispanics of Mexican vs. Cuban ancestry, it'd be a lot easier to move AZ to the left of FL (as current polls show). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

At 100% turnout (and w/ no changes to groups' margins), Biden wins AZ/FL/MI/WI/NE02 but loses PA. Shows you just how many non-college whites there didn't vote in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @saengerleo: super excited to share this project – i hope you all enjoy playing with this tool as much as I did helping make it! https:/… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It also wouldn't have come together so well without graphic/web design by Harvard econ/applied math student Leo Saenger, @saengerleo and @CookPolitical's secret weapon, web editor Ally Flinn @alflinn. Thanks all. 👏👏👏 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This project wouldn't have come to life had I not been approached over the summer by Stanford student and data-viz/cs/math savant Sophie Andrews, @sandrews121. (Strange coincidence: I attended her parents' wedding in NJ when I was 14. Now I'm 36 and I'm feeling really old!) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Like the @NBCNews interactive, the @CookPolitical tool allows you to build & share your own maps. It also has some extras for election *super-nerds:* 1) Real-time raw popular vote tally 2) Real-time red/blue state shading 3) Dynamic table w/ state-level demographic breakdowns — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Have you ever wondered what the 2020 map might look like if: - Biden restores Black turnout to Obama-era levels? - Trump does better w/ Hispanics than last time? - College-educated whites swing to Biden? Now you can choose your own adventure! at either @NBCNews/@CookPolitical. https://t.co/xSarY4Q7ki — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Bad #ElectionTwitter pickup line: "Hey there, want to slide into my...DeMographic Swingometer?" The wait is over. Introducing @CookPolitical's newest, most addictive tool: https://t.co/RAud6tHKVu https://t.co/wVgvM9mEBR — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Five minute warning. Also, I've decided to announce it with a bad #ElectionTwitter pickup line. Stay tuned... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @geoffreyvs: My latest: As a new @MorningConsult study shows, Trump supporters really aren't "shy." But in the wake of 2016 & 2018, poll… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Not sure what I'm more excited about: unveiling the #supernerd version of this in the next hour or finally figuring out (I think) how to thread my tweets after ten years. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Nate_Cohn The @kkondik theory....reasonable. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@taylortttroy Obama '12 margin: +7% Clinton '16 margin: +14% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @RepSteveStivers: Nothing defines our Constitutional Republic more than the peaceful transition of power. I’ve taken an oath to support… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

We often think Phoenix/Maricopa when we talk about why AZ is the most likely Trump ‘16 state to flip Biden, but don’t overlook the blue shift in Tucson/Pima. https://t.co/lLNIW0Fm02 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @seenigel: Today @Redistrict & @NBCNewsGraphics are serving up a hot plate of voter turnout and support modeling! Check it out and see h… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Think I’ve exhausted everyone today (including myself). Drumroll will have to continue until tmw morning. I’m having a beer. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Try telling that to ~100k eligible PA voters if their ballots are invalidated. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @NBCNewsGraphics: NEW: What would it take for Biden to win in red states? And Trump in blue? See how changes in voter turnout and suppor… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Now, who's ready for the #supernerd version? Drumroll please... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Some might wonder: why are the default Electoral College scenarios different by education/race (Biden 307) and age (Trump 306)? Answer: if you apply '16-'20 population change by race/education, you get an electorate that's more diverse/educated. If by age, an older electorate. — PolitiTweet.org