Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 10, 2022

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Thu Sep 24 15:42:38 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A caveat: demographic swings are never perfectly uniform and there's no perfect way to micro-segment the electorate. For example, if we had separate sliders for Hispanics of Mexican vs. Cuban ancestry, it'd be a lot easier to move AZ to the left of FL (as current polls show). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

At 100% turnout (and w/ no changes to groups' margins), Biden wins AZ/FL/MI/WI/NE02 but loses PA. Shows you just how many non-college whites there didn't vote in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Most interesting part of @CookPolitical's swingometer: simulating 100% turnout. Over 233 million votes would be ca… https://t.co/sLnU6AaWvX

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

However, our goal w/ both features - the @NBCNews one designed for a wide audience and the @CookPolitical version designed for super-nerds - is to allow readers to visualize how Electoral College battlegrounds move together (or not). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated