Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @NBCNews: BREAKING: The Republican Party will win control of U.S. House, @NBCNews projects, handing President Biden a divided Congress a… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@KimberlynCarter @tbonier @elium2 Here you go: https://t.co/YOAzUtsek7 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's possible #CA13 and #WA03 lean towards Ds at this point, and #CA41 might lean ever-so-slightly to Rs. But #AZ01 (Scottsdale), #AZ06 (Tucson) and #CA22 (Bakersfield) are the toughest to divine at the moment. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Could what's left in Pueblo even it up for Adam Frisch (D)? Perhaps, but still a ways to go here. #CO03 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Now that #CO03 Rep. Lauren Boebert (R) has expanded her lead to 794 votes w/ more votes from blue-leaning Pueblo County, it's tougher to see her losing. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is a big win for Dems in a newly drawn seat @CookPolitical rated a Toss Up. #CO08 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I’m this case, there’s no chance it’ll affect the outcome of a race since #TN06 and #TN07 are safe GOP seats. But given new maps & lots of very close races, there’s a decent chance an election administration error somewhere could lead to post-11/8 litigation. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Even #NM02, where NYT/Siena had the Dem leading a GOP incumbent by a point, would be a 7 pt pro-GOP swing from the 2020 prez result there (Biden +6). If every House result were a 7 pt pro-GOP swing from 2020 prez, Rs would end up +19 seats - exactly in the middle of our range. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, I see the four NYT/Siena as consistent with our House ratings and forecast of a 12-25 seat GOP gain. Yes, Dems have surprising strength in some red states/CDs (#KS03, #PA08). But they also have big problems in open seats & blue state CDs (tied in Biden +8 #NV01, etc.) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fake account, @TwitterSupport pls remove. https://t.co/ZRPOXVEijj — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Update: so Cheney carries Albany Co. (Laramie) after all, 56%-42%. The final Hageman/Cheney county map will be identical to the Trump/Biden map. #WYAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @cspanwj: FRI| David Wasserman (@Redistrict) Cook Political Report's U.S. House Senior Editor, will discuss Campaign 2022. Watch live a… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Final #WYAL analysis is up at @CookPolitical. https://t.co/sHsEC6TCYa — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @baseballot: .@ryanabest asked a good question: What if Democrats had gotten their best possible redistricting map? What if Republicans… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And, because Dems already hold most of the seats that have gotten bluer (as well as most of the swing seats that have gotten bluer), Republicans have more pickup opportunities from new maps. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CharlotteAlter: Dems like to focus on the NRA, but the NRA isn't even that powerful anymore. It's the hardcore base of gun rights voter… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Two Trump-skeptic House incumbents, #ID02 Rep. Mike Simpson (R) and #PA01 Brian Fitzpatrick (R), are easily dispatching more "MAGA" opponents in GOP primaries that largely escaped Trump's radar. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: NY Judge Patrick McAllister has tapped Carnegie Mellon postdoctoral fellow Jonathan Cervas to draw a "standby" congressional map in case NY's highest court strikes down Dems' 22D-4R gerrymander (h/t @JeffWice). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @MappingFL: Here is the partisan breakdown for the latest plan from Ron DeSantis #flapol #sayfie https://t.co/jqRTuIijHu — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ProPoliticsPod: New episode Tues w/Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) of @CookPolitical...talking his path to being a race rating wunderkind,… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @heatherscope: NEW: Rep. Filemon Vela will resign from Congress in coming weeks to take a position at Akin Gump, I’m told — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Seeing quite a few people fall for a highly misleading analysis comparing ‘22 GOP share of primary turnout in South Texas to ‘20 general results to insinuate a Dem surge. If you compare ‘22 to past *primaries,* Dem erosion is stark. And those misrepresenting data are in denial. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Silver lining on an otherwise dark day for Dems. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @mjs_DC: BREAKING: By a 5–4 vote, with Roberts joining the liberals in dissent, the Supreme Court halts a lower court order that require… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This wasn't unexpected, but what's striking is that the court is demanding a "partisan fairness" standard in the GOP's remedial plan. As @Nate_Cohn notes, that could mean a slight Dem *gain* vs. the current 8D-5R map.https://t.co/rKyKddxJ5c — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Idejder If the map had not changed, Republicans would've had an excellent change to capture #OR04. But under the new lines, they don't. Hence -0.5 for Rs. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

*Evergreen disclaimer: this doesn't mean Dems are on track to gain House seats *overall* in 2022. A 2-3 seat redistricting gain is significant, but a 42% Biden approval rating could be worth several dozen seats to the GOP in November. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

*There's still quite a bit of uncertainty in: - FL, where Rs are debating how aggressive to be - NC/OH, where courts may order big changes to GOP maps - PA, where the state Sup Ct will select a map - AL/LA/SC, where SCOTUS could decide on additional Black opportunity seats — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Highlights of the 23D-3R plan recommended by commenter "Sean Patrick:" - Staten Island #NY11 drawn in w/ Lower Manhattan - New maj-min #NY02 on Long Island - #NY27 Jacobs (R) merged w/ #NY23 Reed (R) - #NY22 Tenney (R) put in a D-leaning seat - #NY03 crosses Long Island Sound — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

BREAKING: national Dems are using a "communities of interest" argument to urge their Albany counterparts to adopt an aggressive 23D-3R gerrymander that could wipe out five of NY's eight GOP seats. submhttps://nyirc.gov/storage/comments/ZuUbUBU9dxrIjHQNQJKf3gvRoj7VRuHVdMmsuvig.pdf https://t.co/ob5U3OgSjC — PolitiTweet.org