Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Notable jab from MO Gov. Mike Parson's (R) communications director against a group of hard-line conservative state senators filibustering in favor of a 7R-1D gerrymander (instead of the 6R-2D status quo map that the state House passed). https://t.co/At1Ipxw9x7 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @baseballot: Well @boltsmag is off to a roaring start—this is an invaluable list of which local officials run elections and how they're… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

All states in the western half of the lower 48, plus Hawaii, have adopted a new congressional map. The final 11 states left to go: CT, FL, LA, MN, MO, NH, NC, OH, PA, RI, WI. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The GOP map puts Davids (D) in jeopardy by weakening #KS03 from Biden +11 to Biden +4.5. But keep in mind, it could still be vulnerable to a lawsuit before the Dem-leaning KS Supreme Court for splitting Wyandotte Co., the largest cluster of non-white voters in Kansas. https://t.co/k7yXfQINbo — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Republicans overrode the map w/ one vote to spare in the state House after anti-vaccine state Rep. Mike Houser (R), who had been out w/ a severe illness, showed up today. For now, Kansas is the 33rd state to adopt a new congressional map. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Kansas Republicans have successfully overridden Gov. Laura Kelly's (D) veto to pass a map that endangers #KS03 Rep. Sharice Davids (D). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Yesterday, Washington became the 32nd state to adopt a new congressional map after the legislature approved minor changes to the commission-drawn lines. Overall it's a 6D-3R-1C map, and Rep. Kim Schrier (D) remains in a Toss Up #WA08. https://t.co/4xtWdEP4xZ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New at @CookPolitical: 2022 House ratings and analysis for new districts in Alabama, Hawaii, New York and Tennessee. https://t.co/nGh0RGs4Ts — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @reidepstein: NEW: Liz Cheney, facing a rebellion at home for her defiance of Trump, has made herself scarce. Few in-person meetings in… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

KS Senate Republicans have succeeded in overriding Gov. Laura Kelly's (D) veto of their congressional map. Next, on to the state House. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @allymutnick: NEW: A behind-the-scenes look at Rs attempts to diversify the GOP (including a yearslong effort to land John James by CLF/… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @aseitzwald: Outgoing Democratic Rep. Jim Cooper lets it rip in this exit interview: "We’re addicted to telling other people what to thi… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The House GOP's 2023 orientation is likelier to be determined by primaries like #SC01 Rep. Nancy Mace's (R) than the handful involving Rs who voted for impeachment (including Liz Cheney). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It was only a decade ago that the Obama DOJ granted Section 5 preclearance to a 6R-1D AL map that packed Black voters into #AL07. But there's no more straightforward Section 2 claim: Black voters are sufficiently large/cohesive/compact, and high racially polarized voting. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I suppose it could take the view that existing 50%+ maj-min seats (like #AL07) mustn't be retrogressed but there's no right to new ones - but that would effectively lock in nonwhite underrepresentation regardless of changing electoral/demographic realities. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If the Supreme Court finds a second Black majority district in AL doesn't satisfy the "Gingles Test" in a Section 2 VRA claim, even though it would be just as compact as the current AL map, it's difficult to see what standards it would set for maj-min seats at all. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: The SCOTUS decision in Alabama can't be considered a surprise given the makeup of the court, but it wasn't a foregone conclu… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @mcpli: 🚨🚨 BREAKING: SCOTUS in a 5-4 decision halts the redrawing of Alabama’s congressional map and agrees to hear the cases. Roberts a… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The SCOTUS stay is obviously a huge win for Republicans and a blow to a coalition of Dems/civil rights groups seeking an additional Black opportunity seat in AL (and LA/SC). The 6R-1D GOP map will stand for 2022, and possibly longer. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The KS Senate's vote to override Gov. Laura Kelly's (D) veto of the congressional map is being held open an awfully long time... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

All signs are that if NC Rs punt drawing a remedial map to the NC Supreme Court this month, Republicans could win a majority on the court in November and pass a new gerrymander in 2023 - possibly reversing most of Dems' national '22 redistricting gains. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

ICYMI, this essay by NYU Law Prof. Rick Pildes from last April is one of the best distillations of the real-world consequences of fewer competitive seats. "We are going to end up with a 'fair' House that is even more dysfunctional," he warns me. https://t.co/B0G6Sjei8q — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Looks very likely the PA Supreme Court will overrule this. Mystery is what map they'll replace it with. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

But the 2022 redistricting cycle is rapidly compounding the decline. There may only be 30-35 seats in that range by the time all is said and done. So the House's pro-GOP bias may be reduced or eliminated, but the House is also on pace to be more anti-competitive than ever. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Back in 2012, after the last redistricting round, 66/435 districts went for Obama or McCain by five points or less. By 2020, only 51/435 districts went for Biden or Trump by five points or less - in other words, voter self-sorting explains a lot of the competitive decline. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact: of the 301 new House districts that have now been adopted, just 17 (5.6%) went for Biden or Trump by five points or less, down from 39 of 301 (13.0%) districts in the same states currently. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @BowTiePolitics: This…could make #ncredistricting very interesting (as if it wasn’t already): #ncpol — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Redistricting update: new lines have now been adopted in 301/435 House districts. Biden won 173 of these 301 new seats, up from 167/301 under the current lines. Biggest shifts so far: IL: Biden +2, Trump -3 MI: Biden +1, Trump -2 NY: Biden +2, Trump -3 TX: Biden -1, Trump +3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Tennessee becomes the 30th state to adopt a new congressional map (that hasn’t subsequently been struck down), and it’s a brutal 8R-1D gerrymander. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A good point. — PolitiTweet.org