Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked April 21, 2022

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Mon Feb 07 16:49:32 +0000 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Back in 2012, after the last redistricting round, 66/435 districts went for Obama or McCain by five points or less. By 2020, only 51/435 districts went for Biden or Trump by five points or less - in other words, voter self-sorting explains a lot of the competitive decline. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 7, 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact: of the 301 new House districts that have now been adopted, just 17 (5.6%) went for Biden or Trump by five points or less, down from 39 of 301 (13.0%) districts in the same states currently. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 7, 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

But the 2022 redistricting cycle is rapidly compounding the decline. There may only be 30-35 seats in that range by the time all is said and done. So the House's pro-GOP bias may be reduced or eliminated, but the House is also on pace to be more anti-competitive than ever. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 7, 2022