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Showing page 257 of 496.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Lesson for Dems who want to get rid of Trump by 2021? Rather than impeaching him (DOA in Senate, unpopular with voters), a more effective way to erode Trump’s standing in red/marginal areas would be to tie him to...Mitch McConnell & congressional Rs (even less popular). — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Having watched 2018’s candidates up close: Dems didn’t win 31 Trump-won districts & pick up 40 seats by campaigning on Trump/Russia. They won by attacking congressional Republicans’ votes to lower taxes on wealthy & repeal ACA/popular provisions on preexisting conditions. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Slight revision: #NH01 Rep. Chris Pappas is in favor of an impeachment inquiry and comes from a district Trump barely won, so one out of 31 (also, this was a Dem hold in 2018). — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Maybe the 31 Dems sitting in Trump-won districts, zero of whom have come out in support of an impeachment inquiry (Dems are only 17 seats above a bare majority). — PolitiTweet.org
Matt McDermott @mattmfm
At this point, who are the vulnerable Democrats that Pelosi is ‘protecting’ by avoiding impeachment? Now multiple D… https://t.co/EnqE33Mulc
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Notable that 10 of the 43 Dems who flipped GOP seats in 2018 have now signed onto an impeachment inquiry, but all ten of them represent districts won by Hillary Clinton in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org
Rep. Jason Crow @RepJasonCrow
The Trump administration has engaged in repeated abuses of power and disregarded our institutions, while flaunting… https://t.co/5b11bAQX6W
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@GeorgeBFleming Yeah and I'm actually quoted in the article rejecting that exact take. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Breaking: #TX11 Rep. Mike Conaway (R) becomes fifth House Republican to announce retirement in the past two weeks. It's a Solid R seat at a @CookPolitical PVI of R+32. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
He was actually in the lead by now: https://t.co/pgaFF1JfDS — PolitiTweet.org
Tristan Brown @BrownTristanh
@Redistrict Uh, wasn’t Donald trump polling at one percent/the margin of error at this time in the last cycle?
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Ready to fast forward to the debates where the candidates with an actual chance get double the time and the spotlight seekers w/ no path aren't wasting our time. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Reminder about polls: the 2020 Democratic nominee might need to win the popular vote by 4% to defeat Trump in the Electoral College. https://t.co/IR6Ovxhwdu — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @amyewalter: A bunch of Ds - especially those who won in ‘18 - are likely shaking their heads as they watched Dem candidates for POTUS d… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This strong party unity is only possible because most supporters of Sanders and Warren were never that passionate about their own choice; they were only mildly interested in these candidates and are quite satisfied w/ Biden's progressive, five-decade track record. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It's July 2020 and Joe Biden has just won the D nomination at a multiple-ballot convention, w/ superdelegates putting him over the top. Luckily for Dems, virtually all Bernie/Warren supporters would be ok with this and fall in line behind Biden in the interest of beating Trump. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@CookPolitical There are just 13 women out of 197 Republicans in the House, and now 2/13 (15%) are retiring in 2020. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Breaking: #AL02 Rep. Martha Roby (R) becomes third GOP member this week to announce retirement in 2020. Her R+16 district remains in Solid Republican at @CookPolitical. — PolitiTweet.org
Alabama Politics @AlabamaPolitics
INBOX: Martha Roby announces she will not seek sixth congressional term. https://t.co/2TvBW9JYU9
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
https://t.co/jmxW3u9vma — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The plot thickens... — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@Redistrict Now did we mention that my middle name is David?
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Nate_Cohn: @Redistrict Now did we mention that my middle name is David? — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
#sorrynotsorry https://t.co/SjtsJ0mzcF — PolitiTweet.org
Jawnmilla de Ghent 🦅 @Kathmandu513
@Redistrict @CookPolitical We don't need more Nates, Dave.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@CookPolitical It's hard to overstate how fast the southwest Houston suburbs are changing: #TX22 was 45% white in 2010, but just 40% white in 2017. It voted for Mitt Romney by 25% in 2012, but for Trump by just 8% in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Huge news for Dems: Rep. Pete Olson (R) to retire, moving #TX22 from Lean R to Toss Up at @CookPolitical. This is one of the fastest-diversifying districts in the country. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Pretty much — PolitiTweet.org
Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende
Every elections analyst not named Nate right now. https://t.co/6h1GaoDWfO
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Probably right. — PolitiTweet.org
Campaign Diaries @CampaignDiaries
@Redistrict I think it is fair to say at this point that the Dems best bet to win is Clinton states + MI + PA + ei… https://t.co/RKAlCupbWh
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
To be clear I mean more of a Trump EC “bonus” than “edge.” Like a few others with Nate/Nathan in their names, I don’t really have a strong position on whether Trump’s a favorite for reelection. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
A 2020 election in which Biden’s margin in the “tipping point” state matches his national margin is possible, I suppose. But my guess is the final 2020 map is likely to be shaped much more by Trump - whatever his standing - than the D nominee. And that points to a Trump EC edge. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
At the end of the day, I can understand concerns about implying lots of precision where it doesn’t exist & when there are still so many unknowns. But I also get the case for why the Q poll in Ohio is probably an outlier & paints Dems an overly cornflower-y portrait. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
BUT polls also show Biden performing well vs. Trump in diversifying states Obama never won, like TX and GA. Yes, Biden has more potential to "roll back the clock" than other Dems, but the final alignment of states - win or lose - is much likelier to look like '16 than '12 or '08. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
At the moment, I still think Biden retains some important advantages in the primary. And, the balance of polling atm shows him performing really well vs. Trump in the white-working class states where Trump broke through... — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
1) Biden has endured a divisive primary (possibly a contested convention?) w/ many on the left displeased 2) Trump has had the chance to weaponize social media to rewrite Biden's biography & attack his baggage from the right *and left* (2/2) — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Setting aside the great Nate debate, my main critique of polls showing Biden clobbering Trump in OH/wherever is that they likely don't offer an accurate portrayal of what that matchup *could* look like next Oct., after: (1/2) — PolitiTweet.org
