Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 27, 2020

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Thu Jul 25 19:02:50 +0000 2019

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

At the end of the day, I can understand concerns about implying lots of precision where it doesn’t exist & when there are still so many unknowns. But I also get the case for why the Q poll in Ohio is probably an outlier & paints Dems an overly cornflower-y portrait. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2019 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

BUT polls also show Biden performing well vs. Trump in diversifying states Obama never won, like TX and GA. Yes, Biden has more potential to "roll back the clock" than other Dems, but the final alignment of states - win or lose - is much likelier to look like '16 than '12 or '08. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2019 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A 2020 election in which Biden’s margin in the “tipping point” state matches his national margin is possible, I suppose. But my guess is the final 2020 map is likely to be shaped much more by Trump - whatever his standing - than the D nominee. And that points to a Trump EC edge. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2019 Hibernated