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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Moral of the story: Dems aren’t likely to win many more converts by attacking Trump’s behavior/style. But they can probably win converts by arguing he fell right in line with the “swampy” Rs (esp. McConnell) to take away healthcare/cut taxes for rich & has made DC even worse. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 4, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The first group of indies has pretty much got the president “as seen on TV” in 2016. No letdown there. But the second group is where Dems’ opportunity lies. He hasn’t “drained the swamp” or proven adept at “art of the deal” on infrastructure, immigration, etc. Dysfunction rules. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 4, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

My working theory...there were two types of indies who voted for Trump in 2016: 1) voters who liked idea of an unfiltered (entertaining?) prez who drove politicians/media crazy 2) voters who saw DC as 100% broken and wanted to try something totally different to get stuff done — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 4, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Reminder: the 2020 election will be decided in large part by voters who view politics (and impeachment) as a distant game partisans play that doesn’t affect their daily lives. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 4, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This was never going to end well. #MI11 https://t.co/LLEWkJxujz — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 2, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A reversal worth noting: in 2018, 29 of 30 House GOP freshman were men. Today, women are leading GOP candidates in 25 of the 53 Dem districts that either 1) voted for Trump in 2016 or 2) flipped from GOP control in 2018. https://t.co/J09alRp0bz — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 2, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This immigration of affluent suburban Rs to the Dem fold, btw, also helps explain why the Dem primary electorate is actually more moderate (and potentially wary of Warren/Sanders) than the party’s left-lurching stereotype. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The premise of this column is obselete b/c there’s a new term for the affluent suburban Republicans who don’t like Trump: Democrats. https://t.co/kguNMUg2j9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ForecasterEnten: "Elizabeth Warren's rising popularity has been limited to Democrats" From May to now, Warren gained ~20 points in net… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2019 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rating change: indicted Rep. Chris Collins (R)'s resignation moves #NY27 from Lean R to Solid R at @CookPolitical. Collins was the only reason this Trump +24 seat was ever in play. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 30, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ZackFinkNews: NEW: Congressman Chris Collins has resigned his seat. He is expected to plead guilty to insider trading in Federal Court… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 30, 2019 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In light of the new Dem push to overturn NC's congressional map in time for 2020, here's the "minimum county split" NC map we drew at @FiveThirtyEight for our Atlas of Redistricting: https://t.co/wZkagNgjhM — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 28, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Trump had to face this type of candidate in 2020, something tells me there wouldn't be much doubt about the outcome. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 28, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is the candidate profile that absolutely crushed it in 2018. Margin swing vs. '16 prez: #NJ11 Mikie Sherrill (D) +15.6% #MI08 Elissa Slotkin (D) +10.5% #PA06 Chrissy Houlahan (D) +8.5% #VA07 Abigail Spanberger (D) +8.4% #VA02 Elaine Luria (D) +5.6% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 28, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This week has shown: even though a certain 4/62 Dem freshmen have gotten about 98% of the headlines so far, some of the most impactful members of the class will be the women with natsec backgrounds. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 28, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And yes, I’d bet on a conviction. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 27, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If the framers had stipulated a secret ballot to convict/remove a POTUS in the Senate, this would indeed be a whole lot more interesting. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 27, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Meanwhile in Scranton... https://t.co/0psCx449nF — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 25, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Over the next few hours/days there will be a lot of hot takes on the political upside/downside of impeachment for Dems. All I can say: let's wait and see. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @howardfineman: Very solid #Dem House leadership source just confirmed to me that @SpeakerPelosi will announce a formal impeachment inqu… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2019 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The dam is breaking: per @Politico & others' trackers, support for an impeachment inquiry has reached: 160/235 House Dems (68%) 24/43 Dem "majority makers" (56%) 11/31 Dems in Trump districts (35%) https://t.co/uZx9PAxN4L — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Followed up by asking about Klobuchar. “Amy? Oh, she’s rock solid. It’s just too bad nobody outside of Minnesota knows who she is.” — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Twin Cities cab driver just now when I asked if she had a preferred 2020 candidate: “I like that mathematician guy, Wang.” — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @GrantrGregory: With all this discussion of the WWC in the Midwest going on I figured I'd share this table. The key -- to several top an… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2019 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The biggest keys to the D primary: African-Americans & suburban women w/ college degrees. The biggest keys to the general: African-Americans (turnout) & non-evangelical white women without college degrees (persuasion). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Trump may be more radioactive than ever in upscale/diverse burbs. But if Dems aren’t constantly asking themselves “How will it play in Eau Claire? Saginaw? Erie? Green Bay? Muskegon? Wilkes-Barre?”...they’re taking their eyes off the prize. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Just put this in an email and thought it was worth sharing on Twitter too. Here's the change in Dem margin between… https://t.co/JrBXee8rgD

Posted Sept. 18, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Just put this in an email and thought it was worth sharing on Twitter too. Here's the change in Dem margin between 2012 and… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2019 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

#CA08 has a @CookPolitical PVI of R+9, so it's staying in Solid R for now. — PolitiTweet.org

Jake Sherman @JakeSherman

ANOTHER GOP RETIREMENT …. L.A. Times scoops that PAUL COOK is retiring to run for county supervisor.… https://t.co/bqT2THJH8R

Posted Sept. 17, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Keep in mind, between 2016 and 2018, the turnout gap between college+ women & non-college men widened from 82%-63% (+19%) to 69%-43% (+26%). There are ~41.8 million non-college men who didn't vote in 2018, most of them white. Among non-voters, there's upside for Trump too. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2019 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: The thing is that this is how it was seen heading into the election: the 'midwestern firewall,' Bain, outsourcing, the autob… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2019 Retweet Hibernated