Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far, it seems like the DNC planners share this philosophy. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: freshman Rep. Ross Spano (R) loses the #FL15 GOP primary to insurance businessman Scott Franklin (R). Spano is the 8th (!) member of the House to lose renomination this cycle, about double the modern average. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Former Navy JAG officer Pam Keith (D) wins the Democratic primary to face #FL18 Rep. Brian Mast (R). We're moving the race from Solid R to Likely R at @CookPolitical. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Update: Franklin (R), who has Matt Gaetz’s endorsement, has pulled ahead of Spano (R) 51%-49% in #FL15. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

We’ve got a barnburner in the open Naples area #FL19, where state Rep. Bryan Donalds (R) leads w/ 21% but the other top three are all within 2%. Donalds could be the House GOP’s best hope for an African-American member in the next Congress. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Kammack, 32, becomes the fifth GOP woman essentially guaranteed to be newly sworn in to the House in 2021 - upping their existing numbers by at least a third. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Kat Cammack (R), whom retiring Rep. Ted Yoho (R) demoted as his chief of staff in 2013, has won the GOP primary to replace him in #FL03. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Update: Spano (R) lead over insurance businessman Scott Franklin (R) now down to 52%-48% as Polk Co. (Franklin's base) reports its early votes. #FL15 Spano could become the 8th (!) House incumbent to lose renomination in 2020, about double the average. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rep. Ross Spano (R) jumps out to a 58%-42% lead in early votes in the #FL15 GOP primary. Dems hoping he wins so they can attack his campaign finance scandal in the general election. Still early. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And there it is... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Sources have corrected me: it’s free — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Bernie: firewood for sale — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Despite some awkward moments, it’s clear this format has some big advantages: 1) endless variety of settings/backdrops 2) no unruly delegates to contend with 3) keeping it short — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

We’ll never know an exact number, but my guess is an awful lot of Kasich ‘16 voters contributed to Biden’s success in ‘20 primaries. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @leahaskarinam: To me, the definition of successful convention is all the video/audio actually works and everyone avoids hot mics. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Is this awkward? Sure. Is it impressive production under the circumstances? I’d say so. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This too... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

What I'll be watching throughout the week: how many ordinary people are in Dems' messaging? How much time on personal stories of how policies are affecting voters vs. politicians talking? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

To me, the definition of a successful convention is if Dems can illustrate why ordinary voters - not just political elites such as John Kasich, Susan Molinari, etc. - are/should be defecting from Trump to Biden. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

*least worst — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Right now, Trump wouldn’t have much chance to win any states Clinton won in 2016. But if I were forced to pick one state where he has the “least worse” chance in Nov, would probably say Minnesota. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @MichaelRWarren: One of the highest-ranking former Trump administration officials to endorse Biden, Miles Taylor, was chief of staff to… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JonathanTamari: 68% of Biden supporters say they'll vote by mail or at an early voting site. Relatively few plan to vote at polls. 31%… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @NateSilver538: It seems like we need a few more gradations in talking about the USPS. A lot of the rhetoric on here falls into categori… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Is it possible this shift is all statistical noise? Sure. But it's something to watch over the next month of data. Trump still has an awful long way to go to get back to his numbers w/ non-college whites, and even matching them would likely be insufficient to win again. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The context here: Biden's average lead has fallen from ~10% in June/July to ~8% in August, per RCP/538/others. Although the shift in non-college whites isn't so dramatic we can be sure of it, it would make sense that Trump's recovery is mainly among voters in his best '16 group. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Biden-Trump in August live-interview national polls (vs. same polls in June/July): Whites w/ college degrees: 56-39 (57-39) Non-college whites: 35-57 (37-56) Suggests a very slight homecoming to Trump among non-college whites, which is not at all surprising as fall approaches. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JonathanTamari: If 2016 turnout rates stay the same, 48% of PA voters this year would be white ppl without college degrees, per @Redist… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JessicaTaylor: 🚨New Senate ratings change this morning at @CookPolitical 🚨 #SCSen moves from Likely to Lean Republican https://t.co/… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: Biden’s success in W. PA driven by voters like this: “I’m not head over heels for him, but I think he’s fine.” If 08 was h… — PolitiTweet.org