Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @kkondik: Beyond much more serious credibility issues, this White House has long needed some serious copy editing help https://t.co/4nyb… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Might be time for the Biden camp to rethink pulling those negative ads. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I know there are reasons we don’t drag 15 year olds into this and all, but when they start becoming more reliable sources of information than their parents... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @politicoalex: BREAKING: Trump campaign manager Bill Stepien has tested positive for Covid-19 https://t.co/9DH9OhFgv6 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

How to run for reelection on Staten Island 101... #NY11 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact check: there are still 32 days to go. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And there you have it... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @jmartNYT: NEWS: @JoeBiden is taking down his negative ads, going all-positive, per source familiar. Decision was made *before* WH pu… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Does Biden at least temporarily pull all negative ads? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @maggieNYT: Via pool report, Trump is going to Walter Reed. Two sources familiar with the plan say he's expected to undergo tests. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Speaking of Grand Rapids, an often-overlooked message one sharp Dem data analyst told me this morning is testing off the charts w/ low-propensity voters in swing states on social media: replacing Betsy DeVos. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

That Biden is delivering his entire speech in Grand Rapids with a mask on speaks volumes more than any remarks he's delivering, and he knows it. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rating change: House Transportation & Infrastructure Chair Rep. Peter DeFazio (D) moves from Likely D to Lean D at @CookPolitical, as "Paris train hero" Alek Skarlatos (R) moves within striking distance in #OR04. https://t.co/BXKO3TLGcX — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Hint: can't believe I used the phrase "wacky alt-scientist who believes urine holds the secret to human life extension" in my writeup of this district. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

House rating change involving a fairly high-profile incumbent coming to @CookPolitical shortly. Stay tuned... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@JHagner Once you have a critical mass of ~200n FL Latino subsamples that all demonstrate some degree of underperformance vs. '16 - and are consistent w/ national polls - you start taking note! With respect to VBM data, we just don't have many priors for this situation. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Enthusiasm about voting is running extremely high among both Biden voters (especially mail/early) and Trump voters (Election Day). **For the millionth time, beware news stories attempting to draw meaningful conclusions about the election outcome from VBM data** — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ThePlumLineGS You know better than to read anything into this... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @SherylNYT: Health Secretary Alex Azar, on the Trump family's failure to wear masks at the recent debate despite a requirement for the a… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ForecasterEnten Where is our national CNN/SSRS poll? I’ve been waiting... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One voter registration bright spot for Dems: #NE02 (Omaha, 1 EV)... January 2020: 161k R, 152k D, 111k Other October 2020: 166k R, 161k D, 116k Other — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Redistrict: At this rate, there’s still time for 5-7 more major bombshells to not upend the race between now and November. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @joemmathews: After White House officials learned of Hicks’ symptoms, Trump and his entourage flew to New Jersey, where he attended a fu… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Only thing worse than last presidential debate: next presidential debate on Zoom. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @pkcapitol: Trump is threatening to force election into federal courts and, if time runs out, believes House will give him a 2nd term. B… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Making sound judgments on Election Night - when data is flying faster and more furiously than any one person can handle - requires a team. Fortunately, major networks employ experienced teams. Responsible 11/3 coverage demands statistical rigor, transparency & patience. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In other words, I'd expect that for every 98 times "I've seen enough" ends up being correct, there might be two times it ends up being incorrect. I'm comfortable w/ that level of risk on most nights. But on 11/3, the stakes are way too high to mischaracterize results. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

My general approach to "seeing enough" on Twitter is to make that declaration at a ~98% personal confidence interval, whereas a media organization might prudently wait to project a race at a ~99%+ confidence interval. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This might be a good opportunity to explain why I will *not* be saying "I've seen enough" on Election Night 11/3 (besides the main reason, which is a longstanding contractual obligation w/ a network desk)... — PolitiTweet.org