Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 17, 2021

Created

Fri Oct 02 03:06:10 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In other words, I'd expect that for every 98 times "I've seen enough" ends up being correct, there might be two times it ends up being incorrect. I'm comfortable w/ that level of risk on most nights. But on 11/3, the stakes are way too high to mischaracterize results. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

My general approach to "seeing enough" on Twitter is to make that declaration at a ~98% personal confidence interval, whereas a media organization might prudently wait to project a race at a ~99%+ confidence interval. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Making sound judgments on Election Night - when data is flying faster and more furiously than any one person can handle - requires a team. Fortunately, major networks employ experienced teams. Responsible 11/3 coverage demands statistical rigor, transparency & patience. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 2, 2020 Hibernated