Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@zackbeauchamp @BrendanNyhan @cwarshaw you've just defined a center point that's one end of a pole, unless you'd count direct democracy or something — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BrendanNyhan @cwarshaw i think you're somewhat conflating whether you think one side's polarization is scarier than the other with the extent of polarization — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BrendanNyhan @cwarshaw i feel like we're talking in circles, but this tweet is exactly why i don't think it makes sense to think about this as a question of symmetric v. asymmetric polarization. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BrendanNyhan @cwarshaw totally, but that's why i'm thinking that maybe 'polarization on the rules and norms of democracy' or 'asymmetric support for rules/norms' isn't really what you're trying to get it at here — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BrendanNyhan @cwarshaw to take one example, protecting the filibuster was on the list of rules/norms to guard in 'how democracy die' just a few years ago! that's basically a consensus position at this point, leaving aside stuff like court packing, new states etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BrendanNyhan @cwarshaw i think we all agree on the facts about what the republicans are doing--opposing democracy--that the democrats aren't, but there are a lot of pro-democratic measures that democrats are a pretty serious about right now that would really seriously break from norms/rules/etc — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw @BrendanNyhan to word it in a way that hints at a degree of symmetry: liberals are committed to democracy, but they've grown deeply skeptical and even opposed to the basic structure of american constitutional governance. conservatives are the reverse. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw @BrendanNyhan i'm not sure *asymmetry* is exactly the word for it, if you think of the call for court packing, opposition to the electoral college, ending the filibuster, new states, HR1 as a fairly aggressive pro-democratic reform movement on the other side of the ledger — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@samshirazim i'm not allowed to do that, but that's not true for everyone on this website @SeanTrende — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@samshirazim old CD2* — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@samshirazim and while that would represent an improvement for dems in the old CD7, this map does have a little bonus for the GOP, by making the old CD more GOP (losing the norfolk/hampton/williamsburg/james city parts) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@samshirazim *reducing dem vote — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@samshirazim that said, this CD6 is basically the statewide vote (clinton+4, biden+11). probably tilt youngkin. but if you want to optimize around on reducing GOP vote there, it's fairly easy to get to biden+6/7 by letting CD7 take up more heavily democratic parts of richmond — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@samshirazim to be clear, what i think is interesting is that no one even proposed a map like this. it's not any more friendly to dems than the proposed CDs that join Charlottesville to Richmond or NoVA — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

On any given day, 75% of my replies can be avoided if people considered the possibility that I have accounted for basic facts about American politics, and considered whether there may be a way to reconcile those facts with a tweet (CD 4/7 are 44% black) https://t.co/zfvweHxlun — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@samshirazim CD7 and 4 are both 44% black — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One interesting thing about the various draft, failed Virginia maps: none of them created a Richmond metro district (like this map), with everyone either trying to attach it to either Charlottesville (Dems) or rural eastern VA (GOP) https://t.co/2xzu8syoYJ https://t.co/4nGFXsKDDq — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I deleted an innocuous tweet about Democratic tactics on reconciliation, simply because it led to a truly surprising amount scum in my replies! I'd also like to point out that I am a huge fan of trees on streets, and it was an extremely large consideration in my last three moves — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As a tactical matter, what's the reason why this stuff is in a once-in-a-decade reconciliation bill as opposed to, say, the annual budget (let alone state or local options) https://t.co/vXu2fLU2TV — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @nickconfessore: The College Democrats are in turmoil over offensive tweets written by some of the organization's candidates and officer… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PollsAndVotes still, i'm surprised it's negative! — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PollsAndVotes oh i guess it's raw n, not percent--so that makes it make more sense — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PollsAndVotes do you think it's a little weird that the outer parts of the 'wow' counties are negative growth while inner is positive? would think new housing stock would be further out, no? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@morganwick it's the republicans who want to split milton back off again, and if they did it would improve their case that CD6 should be GOP-tilting under nonpartisan criteria — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @AlecMacGillis: Not the sign of a healthy society. At all. (h/t @JStein_WaPo) https://t.co/SJWE5Ne9bJ https://t.co/z16mGXzRpc — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @PoliticsReid: Bureau of Labor Statistics says it underestimated June-Sept job growth by 626,000 jobs, the largest underestimate in BLS… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@JMilesColeman i am not convinced butterfield would have been entirely safe, even supposing something like the old CD — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@JMilesColeman though i think it's pretty reasonable to look at the Virginia turnout and think the decline in the Black share of the electorate is poised to continue — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @BrendanNyhan: Find yourself people to follow like the excellent @MattGrossmann who can hold both ideas in their head at the same time.… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A random thought from mixing-and-matching graphics: For the unvaccinated, the COVID case level on average across America is a dark red color on the NYT covid case map For the vaccinated, it's the lightest yellow color https://t.co/1SDPLaigPf — PolitiTweet.org