Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Sanders voters were likeliest to disagree about the role of sexism in Trump's victory, or to say women wouldn't have a harder time (a majority took that position in both cases) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In our Iowa poll, it was Warren voters who were likeliest to agree that a woman would have a harder time beating Trump or that sexism was a major factor in Trump's victory https://t.co/yP6P6VaySR — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @Noahpinion: Americans think math ability is innate and students can't be educated, and it breaks my heart. https://t.co/9OJGOw60uD — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Best thing i read in 2019 that you probably didn't: the english and their history, by robert tombs https://t.co/HUAoPxGEiT — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Best thing i heard in 2019 that you probably didn't: the call of the loon IRL https://t.co/U6mEhXwQsG — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Best thing i saw in 2019 that you probably didn't https://t.co/lyeihvXrYo — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

My main caveat, I suppose, would be that there are very, very few post-impeachment horse race polls (basically none), and I'd be open to the possibility that it could move numbers in any number of directions — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

At risk of offending, there's a bit of denialism in some replies here. The trend shows in national polls (did you notice CNN or Fox?); it's true if you control for state pollster (Marquette?); it's true without Mason Dixon; and it's not bc of Christmas/holidays good for trump lol — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If a major lesson of 2019 was that twitter isn't real life, then perhaps the big question now is whether there's just enough twitter IRL for its preferred candidates to nonetheless narrowly defeat the candidates with vanishingly little support here https://t.co/kBGZMYSwyW — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

it is also a year when we will answer to a great semi circle, colored from blue to red and affixed with a needle that will determines our fate — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Welcome to our quadrennial leap year, summer olympics year, and American presidential election year — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @SNFonNBC: Whoomp there it is! As voted on by our Instagram fans, the 2013 @Seahawks are the BEST team of the decade 🔥 https://t.co/i9D… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Today's new Mason-Dixon polls (Biden narrowly ahead in FL/VA, Trump leading others) fit a longer term, post-impeachment inquiry trend of Trump gaining strength in state polls. Recently, he's not running far behind his '16 standing against Biden, and often ahead on Warren/Sanders https://t.co/37g8JLhzbr — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

(apologies if everyone has realized this already; didn't see it) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

...New Orleans was definitely the team hurt most in the non-pass interference call in the SEA-SF game tonight... — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @RossRichendrfer: How was that not a booth review for pass interference the play before? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @petersagal: I had read this story and admired it before I realized the author is African-American. Imagine the guts it took for him to… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One slight change in the question wording, fwiw, is that we've gone from two to four point approval, adding strongly/somewhat. May be responsible for the decline in don't know, or even increase in disapproval — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Trump approval among RVs NYT/Siena '18 v. Oct 2019 FL: Even (45/45), Disapp -4 (46/51) AZ: Disapp. -2 (46/47), Disapp -4 (46/51) IA 1,3,4: Approve+4 (48/44), Approve +2 (50/48) TX: Approve+2 (47/45), ? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Surprises me a bit, since those same polls weren't particularly tilted towards Dems; in fact, that was a point when our polls were sort of best for the GOP compared to the result. https://t.co/Yegi99eCP9 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Kind of fun and a bit unexpected. In general, we slightly underestimated Dem turnout in '18 in our polling, though not so much at the end. The only real exception: the night Kavanaugh was confirmed (10/5) and a couple days after. https://t.co/v7PX1zMC5m — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I mean, 45 days ago I concluded a piece with some reflections on the advantages of Bernie's position in the race, which are/were real. Maybe he's taken advantage of it. Or maybe not. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As an aside, I'm mainly thinking of this because of the wave of coverage about Bernie's position in the race, which may or may not be exactly the same as it was 45 days ago bc who knows what's going on — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There have been very few polls in IA/NH over the last 45 days, and almost no live interview polls at all — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I get political texts much more often than in 2016, esp this far out https://t.co/B6JcN3tVXO — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@steveschale @WINESofWA @Wa_State_Wine @FidelitasWines @GramercyCellars invite me ? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @OtTracie: @Nate_Cohn No pics of Constitutional Unionists w/ torches + bells, but the Wide Awakes are easily googled. https://t.co/YVWXO… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @minakimes: Marshawn’s coming back for the Seahawks like https://t.co/ruuRxlNo8y — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In 1860, you carried tiki torches if you were woke https://t.co/bCM8sfs5NL — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Lincoln, moderate electability candidate https://t.co/MoNcZUxrCO — PolitiTweet.org