Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 30, 2020

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Sat Dec 28 15:45:09 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Surprises me a bit, since those same polls weren't particularly tilted towards Dems; in fact, that was a point when our polls were sort of best for the GOP compared to the result. https://t.co/Yegi99eCP9 — PolitiTweet.org

With the results final, average error in Upshot/Siena polls over last 3 weeks was 3.32 pts, R+0.96 bias (44 polls);… https://t.co/yz9C4xgPF6

Posted Dec. 28, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Kind of fun and a bit unexpected. In general, we slightly underestimated Dem turnout in '18 in our polling, though not so much at the end. The only real exception: the night Kavanaugh was confirmed (10/5) and a couple days after. https://t.co/v7PX1zMC5m — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 28, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Trump approval among RVs NYT/Siena '18 v. Oct 2019 FL: Even (45/45), Disapp -4 (46/51) AZ: Disapp. -2 (46/47), Disapp -4 (46/51) IA 1,3,4: Approve+4 (48/44), Approve +2 (50/48) TX: Approve+2 (47/45), ? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 28, 2019 Hibernated