Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @RSherman_25: @RossRichendrfer Thank you so much! Means a lot — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @RossRichendrfer: Doesn't matter the uniform, I still love seeing Richard Sherman prove it every single game, every single play. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Adding national polls to the picture, fwiw https://t.co/rfEYeOx5fn — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jonathanchait delaney — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There's a lot to like about Bernie's over all position. He may well lead in IA/NH, yet few candidates have a clear n incentive to attack him. He has a ton of money. He's got energized supporter. He has a pulse among nonwhite voters. His electability case isn't the worst — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Sanders ahead in the Selzer/DMR/CNN poll Sanders 20 Warren 17 Buttigieg 16 Biden 15 Klobuchar 6 Yang 5 https://t.co/scV5jVdOi8 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There's little in the way of national polling on the president's standing post-impeachment. The online/IVR polling--like YouGov or Rasmussen--has trended somewhat against the president, which seems plausible, but over the last year these firms don't predict moves in other polls — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

New surveys in the presidential battlegrounds over the last few days are a bit better for Democrats than Dec. polling, but they're better for the president than the prior iterations of those same polls and seem consistent with a longer-term improvement in Trump's position https://t.co/yt4pJx5ZQP — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @kwcollins: I don’t know who needs to hear this, but yes, paid political ads can swing votes, especially in primaries — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @SeanLangille: NEW @foxnewspoll places @TomSteyer in 2nd place in South Carolina https://t.co/1SksqZ36bo — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @EmmaKinery: London (AP) -- UK House of Commons votes 330-231 to pass Brexit bill, paving way for UK’s Jan. 31 departure from the EU — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ZachMontellaro: A New Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom IOWA poll from @jaselzer is coming TOMORROW at 6 p.m. Eastern. This is a qualify… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @jacobfhsmith: @Bencjacobs @Nate_Cohn Biden got viability at Grinnell in 08 due to a Biden-Richardson-Dodd coalition (per a friend who r… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Mason-Dixon puts Trump well ahead in Georgia, which until now had been the only battleground state where all of the polls had been pretty good for Dems https://t.co/mbdMROth9D — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @jon_m_rob: Cool to see a poll of Michig.... https://t.co/8Vgp7i7cCQ — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Not necessarily the most important factor in the race, to be sure. But given that there's a much wider education gap on Sanders support in '20 than '16, I wonder whether Bernie's edge among young voters on campus might be narrower than one might guess — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Has anyone seen any good articles on the state of play between Bernie and Warren on major Iowa college campuses? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @mkraju: GOP Sen. Mike Lee railing on the Iran briefing just now from senior administration officials, calling it “the worst briefing I’… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @MonmouthPoll: COMING TOMORROW – NEW HAMPSHIRE: Our third #2020Dem poll of likely Granite State primary voters on the Democratic preside… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @maggieNYT: POTUS is NOT giving an address tonight, per two sources. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @SONTSeattle: Russell Wilson carried the #Seahawks to Green Bay 😤🗣 https://t.co/AQxwyO6eEy — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @steveschale: Basically life advice 👇👇 https://t.co/Oz0kWhEEHx — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RossRichendrfer Bias — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RossRichendrfer East coast is — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @SalvantoCBS: Seems like every time I check in here politics twitter is looking for new 2020 Iowa and New Hampshire poll numbers. I thi… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There's a very reason for this: caller ID allowed and the proliferation of spam calls encouraged many voters to decline calls from unknown numbers. That means pollsters need to make more calls, which means paying for more hours of work. No conspiracy or oligarchic ploy required — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Looking again at my replies, I'm surprised how many people seem to doubt the importance of the increase in cost. I mean, the cost of our Oct. 2019 polls in PA/FL/NC was basically 2.5x greater per respondent than our PA/FL/NC polls in Oct. 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Fortunately, I'd guess this drought will be over soon enough. I think it's reasonable to think that some firms that are going to hit this early January window--early enough so that they can come back for a final poll the weekend before. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Speaking personally, it certainly would have influenced my thinking if I knew there would be no telephone poll in Iowa between ~11/10 and ~1/10. I don't know if it would have carried the day, but I'd certainly love to be in the field with an Iowa poll right now — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

7) In general, there's little to no coordination between the various polling organizations on their schedules. I think it's possible that someone would have jumped if they knew there was no competition in Dec. But pollsters don't know that at a time when they could act on it — PolitiTweet.org