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Showing page 331 of 658.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Molson_Hart @normonics Trump was printing like crazy BEFORE Covid to manufacture a good employment number. Also he did NOT betray just Pence. Perhaps 100 such victims. He has no notion of loyalty/honor. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@PaulSkallas He wanted to stay and failed miserably. He hurt those who elected him by losing the Senate, etc... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Indeed strange behavior for the equation below the identity. https://t.co/LZR80K1n0H — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Unfortunately, no symbolic solution on the horizon. @SrinivasR1729 do you have one? https://t.co/PgcjLlRSNz — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@immuno458 @SusanGroff1 @papapalpatin Dr San Juan, you should do more thinking when on Twitter, deploy more logical faculty & not produce primitive fortune cookie evidentiary requirements. And realize doing homework on my feed the existence of ~30% additional unaccounted death in the US directly att to Covid. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@immuno458 @SusanGroff1 @papapalpatin I was sitting in a Covid hospital with emergency room doctors. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@normonics Once president, you are president for all. Indeed != electoral campaign — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@justinowings You may antagonize a group of people to win the election. But once there, you are now president for all. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
How does a statesperson behave? De Gaulle stopped his campaign from revealing embarrassing facts about his rival, then Mitterrand. Why? His answer was that it would weaken the dignity of the French presidency should Mitterrand win the election. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
How does a stateperson behave? De Gaulle stopped his campaign from revealing embarrassing facts about his rival, then Mitterrand. Why? His answer was that it would weaken the dignity of the French presidency should Mitterrand win the election. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Justin_Halford_ If you don't like my style, go follow someone else. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
What did I learn from the Trump presidency? No matter your message, your policies, your public, as an executive you must have *some* amount of decorum & abide by the following Roman virtues: + Dignitas + Gravitas + Auctoritas + Iustitia in addition to the main one: Prudentia. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @TheIHS: "One of the most important features of liberal democracies is that they are polycentric," writes Prof. @sghorwitz, arguing that… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@SusanGroff1 @papapalpatin Actually, no. Plenty of unaccounted Covid death are falls or heart attacks or strokes caused by the virus. One of the main ER was falls by people passing out. They infected others as they did not know it was Covid. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@PaulaNaoufal Aya wa7ad? L siné? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
So far, only numeric from here. https://t.co/HHLLV1q5Wu — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Helps with a lockdown during rain. — PolitiTweet.org
Srinivasa Raghava ζ(1/2 + i σₙ )=0 @SrinivasR1729
Solve this curious integral equation problem for Sunday. Have fun! #Mathematics #math https://t.co/LwbkRUCeeW
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@SusanGroff1 @papapalpatin Yes, they say that the most likely symptom of heart disease is sudden death. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Note: p_1 excludes Covid ("healthy") — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@SatoshiVonMises No, I used "healthy". — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
PROBABILITY DU JOUR: What are the odds it was COVID? Let q be the pr. of having a COVID infection (% of the CH population). Let p_1 be the pr. of a healthy 57 y.o dying of a sudden heart attack. Let p_2 be the conditional pr. of a Covid infected 57 y.o dying of a heart attack. — PolitiTweet.org
Financial Times @FT
Benjamin de Rothschild dies of heart attack at 57 https://t.co/EHxucpSJsh
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@davidpapineau What is outside the tails is a matter of "precision", i.e. faulty equipment, etc., and converges with simple repetition. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@davidpapineau One more comment on Neyman-Pearson: there is an abuse of terms. As with other asymmetries, in a pairwise comparison they are just ranking A better than B rather than saying A is "accepted". — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@davidpapineau n other words, science is about "NO EVIDENCE OF DISEASE", never "EVIDENCE OF NO DISEASE". Type 1 error is just a matter of sensitivity of the testing method. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@davidpapineau In other word, science is about "NO EVIDENCE OF DISEASE", never "EVIDENCE OF NO DISEASE". Type 1 error is just a matter of sensitivity of the testing method. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@AStratelates @ektrit @NBDruds @davidpapineau https://t.co/vZ0mDNg1Fh — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@NBDruds @ektrit @davidpapineau No, Bayes factors produce rankings. And I've shown it does not work under fat tails/ alternative probability distributions. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@davidpapineau Yes, as I said it is not in the tails. The so-caled p value and Z score is about the tail, events lying <p or in scores, exceeding >Z. Hence a huge asymmetry, like what Popper proposed. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@davidpapineau This is an abuse of language by N-P. You cannot "accept" since it is conditional (probabilistic) & there remains a tail. When you reject there is no tail. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @nntaleb: @davidpapineau Sorry, but that's not how it works. Elementary statistics does not "accept" nor confirm. 1) You reject the nu… — PolitiTweet.org
