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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@EdmondShami The G-Catholics were Arabists, which explains their scission. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Today
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@digvijoy_c @hjluks @trishankkarthik Mathematica. But I spend equal time in Zone 3 and 4. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Today
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@trishankkarthik @hjluks Trishank you must never reveal the secret locations. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@ihembry @ZurNull Children are below the threshold where the effect flattens, so until we have a better idea about potential trade-offs, better err on the side of avoidance. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@hjluks @trishankkarthik Me too. I am reporting 4 h/week of >Zone 2 training pays off. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@pauld198 @fitterhappierAJ 15 months ago. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @fitterhappierAJ: I told you so https://t.co/1AGTyXO5pv https://t.co/dLO6M0rnlt — PolitiTweet.org

Prof Francois Balloux @BallouxFrancois

Median time to reinfection likely >1-2 years; reinfection -> milder symptoms. Sequelae bad, but ~ other pathogens.… https://t.co/7eQc…

Posted Yesterday Retweet Deleted after 27 minutes
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@NachoOliveras @trishankkarthik @Porkchop_EXP Maybe but it does NOT admit BS & verbalism. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@sebs_tweets @EmanuelDerman No more! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@meoyawn Had — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

I feel much safer in Beirut than NY. Although this is statistically rare, risk factors are >> in NY. [Columbia U. is my usual neighborhood where I hang around in cafés; planning to be there today.] — PolitiTweet.org

New York Post @nypost

Columbia University student killed in NYC stabbing https://t.co/FZPhSkD5rx https://t.co/rSNBEYnVe3

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

When followers get upset, they go away, and you get new followers. More generally, I despise authors who follow their audience, guided by "what has worked". — PolitiTweet.org

Luke Burgis @lukeburgis

@nntaleb @nntaleb you’re one of the few people on here who seems immune to the mimetic distortion of the truth. A s… https://t.co/6em0IptnIh

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

3) Let us keep children vaccination out of this. Precautionarily I prefer to avoid vaccinating children until we get more visibility about the potential long term harm from Covid-19. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Jac5Connor Small, now. When books come out they have more sales in bookstores. Later, <10-20% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@TitusRyan9 This is YOUR data. Are you aware of what you posted? https://t.co/cizGcIFici — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Up to the Delta variant, this is the risk reduction. https://t.co/UMUHtAJUi0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@normonics @VictorBlaga87 The "fuckhead" is actually doing less diversion than what you are doing: discussing children when my post is not about children vaccination. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@flyingfox44 @DaktirNikola I blocked the fellow for misleading info. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@svilazakalde @bopanc And seatbelts. And every single medication. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@HomegrownJoan2 @EddieRNashton Your approach is impeccable. ~4K is a good estimate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Friends, this is an example of the tricks used by fraudsters and psychopaths to mislead with risk factors. Instead of looking at risk reduction, they focus on Yes/No with "can". In other words a 99.999% risk reduction maps to "Yes". — PolitiTweet.org

Philip Soos @PhilipSoos

An accurate summary - not something the authorities would want to promote. https://t.co/iBC4QSCYDj

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@scmarco69 @profnfenton I saw very clean data from Israel and the US. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@HuxleysRazor Imbecile. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@itsassou Je bloque les imbeciles comme vous. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@digvijoy_c @dzviovich Diego must get the @WolframResearch @stephen_wolfram prize for advancing the use of automata to solve real-world problems. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

COUNTERFACTUALS https://t.co/vYQlK0BdI9 — PolitiTweet.org

Jeremy Stunt @JeremyStunt

@nntaleb 'Joe Smith, who helped avoid the disaster of 9/11, died of complications of liver disease.' Vox clamanti… https://t.co/vh39javuEJ

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2) Looking at precise numbers, or rigorous statistical arguments, not antivaccine rants with vague references to obesity or fake numbers abt death rates. [ I have been blocking those who rants on such questions] — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Friends; the Incerto discusses the notion of blindness to COUNTERFACTUALS, effects not seen thanks to a risk reduction measure. As an exercise in empirical rigor missing from the discussion, let's look at: 1) How many lives were saved by vaccines, 2) Morbidities reduced. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@mikeandallie Yes but in that age group almost all could be vaccinated, a huge protection — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Yesterday
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Fake news. ~7000 die on average. 80,000/day means extinction. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 2, 2021