Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 15, 2021

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Sun Jan 17 06:30:32 +0000 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@davidpapineau What is outside the tails is a matter of "precision", i.e. faulty equipment, etc., and converges with simple repetition. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 17, 2021 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@davidpapineau One more comment on Neyman-Pearson: there is an abuse of terms. As with other asymmetries, in a pairwise comparison they are just ranking A better than B rather than saying A is "accepted". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 17, 2021 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

PROBABILITY DU JOUR: What are the odds it was COVID? Let q be the pr. of having a COVID infection (% of the CH population). Let p_1 be the pr. of a healthy 57 y.o dying of a sudden heart attack. Let p_2 be the conditional pr. of a Covid infected 57 y.o dying of a heart attack. — PolitiTweet.org

Benjamin de Rothschild dies of heart attack at 57 https://t.co/EHxucpSJsh

Posted Jan. 17, 2021 Hibernated