Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 15, 2021

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Sat Jan 16 20:02:41 +0000 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@davidpapineau Yes, as I said it is not in the tails. The so-caled p value and Z score is about the tail, events lying <p or in scores, exceeding >Z. Hence a huge asymmetry, like what Popper proposed. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 16, 2021 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@davidpapineau This is an abuse of language by N-P. You cannot "accept" since it is conditional (probabilistic) & there remains a tail. When you reject there is no tail. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 16, 2021 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@NBDruds @ektrit @davidpapineau No, Bayes factors produce rankings. And I've shown it does not work under fat tails/ alternative probability distributions. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 16, 2021 Hibernated