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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@riachi_jean Count me in — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@RuxandraTeslo Lack of lifting heavy objects — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@IamAdamKuhn @jakeshieldsajj I block idiots. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
PROBABILITY BS DU JOUR If it were "50/50 odds", you'd have an explosion of GDP. More like 0.0001/.9999... — PolitiTweet.org
Troy Osinoff 🕺 @yo
If you mortgage your house to fund your startup, you either become a billionaire or homeless. 50/50 odds aren’t bad!
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@rogerkhater Which one? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
https://t.co/MnuZKV9XTe — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
A long hike https://t.co/nvagpILF43 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The fellow is an imbecile, a fraud, or, as I suspect, a combination of both. Picklebrained UFC fighters now have a following as experts in statistics. The vaccine saved millions of fatalities, directly, not counting other gains s.a. the prevention of hospital overload. — PolitiTweet.org
Jake Shields @jakeshieldsajj
Now that it’s become clear the vaccine didn’t work I’m seeing the unvaccinated shame the vaccinated They did what… https://t.co/7xZMDawH7p
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The fellow is an imbecile, a fraud, or, as I suspect, a combination of both. Picklebrained UFC fighters have a following as experts in statistics. The vaccine saved millions of fatalities, directly, not counting other gains s.a. the prevention of hospital overload. — PolitiTweet.org
Jake Shields @jakeshieldsajj
Now that it’s become clear the vaccine didn’t work I’m seeing the unvaccinated shame the vaccinated They did what… https://t.co/7xZMDawH7p
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ArielKarlinsky Technically there is no mass function, since you need integer units for Poisson. But you compute a Poisson, use that for PDF, then say if deaths is X and total pop is T and Poisson parameter is \lambda, use mean \lambda T and variance lambda/T^2. Otherwise, Normal approx. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@RichmanRonald @ArielKarlinsky Redoing it since Poisson is discrete. Use a Normal approximation. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ArielKarlinsky But texhnically this is wrong since Poisson is discrete, integers. Don't tell anyone. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ArielKarlinsky Voila https://t.co/9kQjSMuwPB — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ArielKarlinsky Sorry thought growth rates. Total rates follows same distr, different scale since tot pop constant. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ArielKarlinsky Same problem as here. Will derive. https://t.co/SRTHHVVsqX — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@dkl1897 At a friend's, not a restaurant. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@dan_azzi @JamesMarsh79 I have no umbrella. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@DavidIRamadan @dan_azzi Balek bi DC ma fi. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JamesMarsh79 @dan_azzi My "funeral" is predictive and anticipative — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JamesMarsh79 @dan_azzi A funeral — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The most dangerously foolish, ignorant, & probability blind argument. Just block this account. I mean, really, block. #FooledbyRandomness — PolitiTweet.org
Fintwit @fintwit_news
Bill Gates would be worth $1 trillion if he still had his Microsoft shares. Instead, he became friends with Warren… https://t.co/tA5IjZhnLu
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The most dangerously foolish argument. Just block this account. I mean, really, block. #FooledbyRandomness — PolitiTweet.org
Fintwit @fintwit_news
Bill Gates would be worth $1 trillion if he still had his Microsoft shares. Instead, he became friends with Warren… https://t.co/tA5IjZhnLu
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@RosannaInvests @wrapschocolate Zero otto nove? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Squid ink Beiruti style. https://t.co/qqDsbZimYN — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
https://t.co/mu7BdCT46Y — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
αβυσσος αβυσσον επικαλειται εις φωνην των καταρρακτων (abyssus abyssum...) The concept of fat tails... — PolitiTweet.org
Benjamin Suchard @bnuyaminim
when you start reading Genesis 1:2 https://t.co/Jdv3jcVcMs
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@bnuyaminim Abyssus abyssum invocat, Psalm 42:7 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jonathan26673 @michal_chren Dominated convergence theorem. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jonathan26673 @michal_chren For n large, 0<x<1,log(1+x+x^n]->log[1+x]. So integrate Log[1+x], which =-x + Log[1 + x] + x Log[1 + x]|_0^1 = 2 log[2]-1 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@trishankkarthik @shaarsh2 No, that you need to rest for a few days to see full vagal benefits. — PolitiTweet.org
