Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 7, 2023

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Tue Jan 17 10:45:53 +0000 2023

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@RichmanRonald @ArielKarlinsky Redoing it since Poisson is discrete. Use a Normal approximation. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 17, 2023

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@ArielKarlinsky But texhnically this is wrong since Poisson is discrete, integers. Don't tell anyone. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 17, 2023

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@ArielKarlinsky Technically there is no mass function, since you need integer units for Poisson. But you compute a Poisson, use that for PDF, then say if deaths is X and total pop is T and Poisson parameter is \lambda, use mean \lambda T and variance lambda/T^2. Otherwise, Normal approx. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 17, 2023