Deleted tweet detection is currently running at reduced
capacity due to changes to the Twitter API. Some tweets that have been
deleted by the tweet author may not be labeled as deleted in the PolitiTweet
interface.
Showing page 96 of 910.
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @baseballot: We have a polling average of the #CAgov recall! 🥳 And it is TIGHT. https://t.co/BbtWescMvW https://t.co/0438Zx1NqM — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@phl43 I've also never understood why people are that interested in this genre of story in the first place. Being an infectious disease expert is not so closely related to being an expert at this type of cost-benefit analysis, and one-size-fits-all advice is rarely that useful. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@phl43 Their personal behavior doesn't matter but if there's this degree of risk-aversion their advice likely won't be well calibrated to the preferences of the general population. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Lollapalooza just went off with a vaccine/testing requirement but no outdoor masking requirement and had very little COVID spread... so LA does the exact opposite for some reason. https://t.co/lRrk6UPrrk — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @phl43: If you're worried about the pandemic because you see no end in sight, and fear that new variants will mean that our previous eff… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@notdred Yeah. And I can imagine it could get kind of weird and patchy with different levels of vaccine uptake layered over different layers of natural immunity. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
There's this notion that it's only a matter of time before Delta explodes in other parts of the US as much as it has in the South but I don't see why that's obviously true. Case growth has slowed down in all four regions as compared with 2/3 weeks ago. https://t.co/5r9pejUfYi — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@robbysoave Yeah none of these plans have a clear exit strategy. I'm just saying, it's more rational to be super fanatical about the 1st case (which you have a chance of stomping out) than the 100th or the 1000th case (probably fucked under Delta). — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@robbysoave If you can stay at COVID zero with a relatively brief lockdown, it's probably worth trying. (From a utilitarian standpoint, I think the morality is very complicated.) I have more questions about Australia, which is looking at a 6-7 month hard lockdown but cases rising anyway. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@max_silver Part of the problem IMO is they create a disincentive for testing and a lot of people would prefer to remain ignorant rather than face this dilemma. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@joshtpm I do think I understand the politics, though, and I think any government that didn't treat protecting its own population as priority 1a (even if vaccinating the rest of the world is 1b) would be running huge electoral risks, especially for vaccines developed domestically. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@joshtpm I don't know the answers either, I just think these are important questions that aren't often being asked, and in general it seems like more bandwidth could be devoted to the question of how to increase manufacturing capability. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@joshtpm I mean there's *clearly* no trade-off domestically. Doses are going to waste. But people constantly assert that there's a trade-off internationally, and I think that's very murky for many reasons. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@joshtpm If we were telling everyone to get a booster TODAY there would be significant issues. But on a rolling basis 8 months from one's second dose is more of the medium-run IMO (and we've already purchased the doses FWIW). — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@thehowie I told my 70something parents to get boosters when they can. And I told my friend with J&J + an unvaccinated child in his house to get a booster. I agree that it may be more borderline for other adults but I think there's something to be said for moving sooner rather than later. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Economics are highly relevant to many COVID policy decisions and the pandemic response would likely have been better if the public health community had more actively solicited input from people with expertise in economics. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Not seeing many convincing counterarguments to this, especially given how commonly it's being asserted that there's a trade-off between boosters and 1st doses. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
There's sort of a spectrum between COVID hawks (people who favor lots of NPIs/restrictions) and COVID doves and what's funny about booster doses is that both strong hawks and strong doves are skeptical while people in the middle generally think they're a good idea. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @R_Thaler: Been wondering about this. Naive question: How elastic is the vaccine supply? If the world would explode unless we had (say)… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@ZoeMcLaren The number of suppliers (somewhere on the order of 8-11 depending on how you count) is fairly typical for a major industry. It also doesn't follow that a marginal increase in demand will fail to increase supply even under oligopoly. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
It's true that Twitter in general also has its share of dubious claims. But they're sort of literally harder to pick apart when they're part of a long thread. And people take long threads as more authoritative than individual tweets when they probably shouldn't. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Long Twitter threads are generally ripe environments for misinformation (especially on COVID but also on other topics). They often combine a handful of reasonable claims with several dubious or BS ones. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Although this is commonly asserted, there really isn't much evidence that in the medium to long run, the supply of vaccine is finite. The counterargument is that greater demand will lead to more (perhaps long-lasting) investment in the supply chain and manufacturing capabilities. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Good. And I'm glad the White House is taking the lead on this rather than delaying the inevitable. https://t.co/NJMKJ0hk1E — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @youyanggu: @NateSilver538 I believe Bill's Tweet is an example of survivorship bias. He's only pointing out countries where the policie… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I really wouldn't want to have to predict this thing myself, it seems like there are 5 or 6 variables that are huge unknowns and they interact in complicated ways. But if you see overconfident predictions elsewhere, note that there really isn't any consensus. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
The models the CDC tracks are all over the place OTOH with about half predicting continued exponential growth and about half thinking we're at peak. (Weirdly, not many think we're somewhere in between, even though that's probably the most prudent answer.) https://t.co/dEn8whexd8 https://t.co/Yv3hrjwDcA — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Positive test rate (orange line), which can sometimes be a leading indicator for the overall number of cases, has been pretty flat for about a week now in the US. https://t.co/72g3BvkSI4 https://t.co/lJpZzlEnUl — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
The thing is there's much more we could be doing on just the vaccine front. —More aggressive use of vaccine mandates —Require vaccines (except for kids) for attending mass gatherings —Full FDA vaccine approval —EUA for kids 5-12 —Booster doses for adults age 65+, J&J recipients — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @NateSilver538: @JamesFallows True but Australia shows even incredibly strict NPIs are *not* enough to contain the Delta variant on thei… — PolitiTweet.org
