Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 3, 2021

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Mon Aug 16 18:15:25 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The models the CDC tracks are all over the place OTOH with about half predicting continued exponential growth and about half thinking we're at peak. (Weirdly, not many think we're somewhere in between, even though that's probably the most prudent answer.) https://t.co/dEn8whexd8 https://t.co/Yv3hrjwDcA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 16, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Positive test rate (orange line), which can sometimes be a leading indicator for the overall number of cases, has been pretty flat for about a week now in the US. https://t.co/72g3BvkSI4 https://t.co/lJpZzlEnUl — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 16, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I really wouldn't want to have to predict this thing myself, it seems like there are 5 or 6 variables that are huge unknowns and they interact in complicated ways. But if you see overconfident predictions elsewhere, note that there really isn't any consensus. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 16, 2021